Alert Details Alert Sent
Message 53088dbd-9219-46d5-bf0c-6bb89ae84e24 from ABMS_Met_Office sent at 20:16:52 on 2024-08-29
Status / Scope / Type Actual / Public / Alert
References
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Referenced by
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Info
Language
EN
Alert summary
Tropical Cyclone Could Impact the Area Early Next Week, Be Aware
Effective
20:16:52 2024-08-29
Starts at
20:20:00 2024-08-29
Expires
20:20:00 2024-08-31
Description
THE ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE IS MONITORING THE PROGRESS OF A TROPICAL WAVE, OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL NORTH ATLANTIC. THE SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP FURTHER AND BECOME A CONCERN FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS EARLY NEXT WEEK, MONDAY OR TUESDAY.
THE TROPICAL WAVE COULD BECOME TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL99 IN DAYS, AND PERHAPS GO ON TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM BEFORE REACHING THE CARIBBEAN. AT THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM POSES LITTLE TO NO THREAT TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS, BUT THIS COULD CHANGE. THE RISK OF WIND, RAINFALL OR SEAS IS LOW, FOR NOW, SO BE AWARE AND STAY PREPARED FOR THE HURRICANE SEASON.
AT 2 PM ECT OR 1800 UTC, THE TROPICAL WAVE AXIS WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1490 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MOVING WEST AT AROUND 13 MPH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LESS THAN 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BY EARLY NEXT WEEK ON THE APPROACH OF THE CARIBBEAN. THERE IS A NEAR-ZERO PERCENT CHANCE OF FORMATION IN 48 HOURS AND A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FORMATION IN SEVEN DAYS.
NO PARTICULAR HAZARD IS BEING FORECAST AT THIS TIME AS THE SYSTEM IS VERY FAR AWAY WITH LOTS OF ROOM FOR SEVERAL SCENARIOS TO PLAY OUT. ALSO, THE UNCERTAINTIES ARE QUITE HIGH FOR WHAT WILL HAPPEN. PLEASE NOTE THAT NO ALERTS, WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA; HOWEVER, THIS COULD CHANGE IN 48 HOURS.
Instructions
BE AWARE! RESIDENTS SHOULD MONITOR THIS SYSTEM CLOSELY AND ENSURE THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS ARE PREPARED.
Contact
ABMS Met Office at 462-3017, if confirmation of this message is needed.
Category
Safety
Rescue
Transport
Met
Affected areas
Antigua
Barbuda
Urgency / Severity / Certainty
Future / Minor / Possible
Sent by
Dale Destin
Event code(s)
SAME = CEM
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