Alert Details Update Sent
Message 8ace8bd2-57d9-4bf0-9dcc-f15063efa3f3 from ABMS_Met_Office sent at 17:16:55 on 2020-08-12
Status / Scope / Type Actual / Public / Update
References
Referenced by
No references
Info
Language
EN
Alert summary
A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
Effective
17:16:55 2020-08-12
Expires
16:16:55 2020-08-13
Description
A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT. A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS, IN THIS CASE, THAT A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS IN OUR MONITORED AREA, BUT A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED, AT THIS TIME, BUT COULD BE ISSUED IN THE NEAR FUTURE.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE, WHICH HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A STRONG TROPICAL STORM AND AFFECT OUR ISLANDS ON SATURDAY. HOWEVER, GIVEN THE NORMAL UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK, INTENSITY AND SIZE OF THE DEVELOPING TROPICAL CYCLONE, IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT WHAT EXACT TROPICAL-CYCLONE-HAZARD VALUES, IF ANY, ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS FAR IN ADVANCE. NOTWITHSTANDING, THE THREAT TO THE ISLANDS REMAINS ELEVATED WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LIMITED IMPACTS FROM STORM-FORCE-WINDS AND HIGH SEAS, RESULTING IN LIFE-THREATENING CONDITIONS, DISRUPTIONS TO DAILY LIFE AND MINOR DAMAGE TO INFRASTRUCTURE.
AT 11 AM LST OR 1500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED ABOUT 1210 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA MOVING WEST AT 14 MPH. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TONIGHT. IF THIS TURN DOES NOT TAKE PLACE, AS SCHEDULED, THE THREAT TO OUR ISLANDS COULD INCREASE.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK HAS THE SYSTEM PASSING AN UNCOMFORTABLY SAFE DISTANCE NORTH OF OUR ISLANDS. HOWEVER, IT IS EARLY DAYS AND A NUMBER OF MODELS HAS THE CYCLONE PASSING OVER OR VERY NEAR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA ON SATURDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA ON THURSDAY.
Instructions
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO MONITOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN AND BE PREPARED TO IMPLEMENT THEIR STORM OR HURRICANE PLANS, AS THE SYSTEM POSES AN ELEVATED THREAT WITH THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE LIMITED DAMAGE, INJURY AND LOSS OF LIFE.
Contact
ABMS MET OFFICE AT 462-3017, IF CONFIRMATION OF THIS MESSAGE IS NEEDED.
Category
Rescue
Health
Met
Safety
Transport
Affected areas
Antigua
Barbuda
Urgency / Severity / Certainty
Future / Minor / Possible
Sent by
Dale Destin
Event code(s)
SAME = CEM
Allow activation of
FM Radio Interrupt
Sirens
Email
Cable TV Interrupt
Smartphones