Alert Details Alert Sent
Message c2367bd1-09b2-4dc0-82bc-9b08e3134831 from ABMS_Met_Office sent at 19:43:04 on 2023-09-04
Status / Scope / Type Actual / Public / Alert
References
No references
Referenced by
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Info
Language
EN
Alert summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL95 COULD PASS NORTH OF THE CARIBBEAN
Effective
19:43:04 2023-09-04
Starts at
19:44:00 2023-09-04
Expires
19:44:00 2023-09-05
Description
WHILE THERE IS A HIGH LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE THAT AL95 WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE, IN THE COMING WEEK, THE FORECAST TRACK REMAINS HIGHLY UNRELIABLE DUE TO ITS FAR DISTANCE FROM THE ISLANDS. HOWEVER, A MAJORITY OF MODEL FORECASTS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT THE CENTRE OF WHAT IS ANTICIPATED TO BE AT LEAST A TROPICAL STORM WILL LIKELY PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. HENCE, AT THIS EARLY STAGE, THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO SUGGESTS THAT AL95 POSES LITTLE THREAT TO THE ISLANDS. NEVERTHELESS, IT'S IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THIS ASSESSMENT IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE AS NEW INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE. TO ENSURE YOUR SAFETY, WE STRONGLY RECOMMEND HAVING YOUR HURRICANE DISASTER PLAN PREPARED AND READY. ADDITIONALLY, PLEASE STAY ACTIVELY VIGILANT AND MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE CLOSELY.
Instructions
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR TROPICAL DISTURBANCE AL95 AND ENSURE THAT THEY HAVE THEIR HURRICANE SEASON PLANS PREPARED.
Contact
ABMS Met Office at 462-3017, if confirmation of this message is needed.
Category
Met
Affected areas
Antigua
Barbuda
Attached Media
Urgency / Severity / Certainty
Future / Minor / Likely
Sent by
Dale Destin
Event code(s)
SAME = CEM
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