090f6ac4-21d0-482f-89cb-89420441c0d3 ABMS_Met_Office 2020-08-13T16:34:39+00:00 Actual Alert Public en-US Met Safety Rescue Health Transport TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE EAST OF THE ISLANDS Future Minor Possible SAME CEM 2020-08-13T16:34:39+00:00 2020-08-14T15:34:39+00:00 Dale Destin TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE EAST OF THE ISLANDS A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE. A TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT MEANS THAT, IN THIS CASE, A TROPICAL STORM IS IN OUR MONITORED AREA; HOWEVER, A WATCH OR WARNING IS NOT REQUIRED, AT THIS TIME, BUT MAY BECOME NECESSARY IN THE NEAR FUTURE. TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FINALLY MADE THAT TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST (285 DEGREES) EARLY THIS MORNING AND HAS MADE A FURTHER TURN TO 295 DEGREES, AT 11 AM. THIS LOOKS LIKELY TO BE THE START OF A NEW TRACK THAT WILL TAKE THE STORM NORTH OF THE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS MOST LIKELY TO PASS A RELATIVELY SAFE DISTANCE NORTH OF BARBUDA, WE ARE NOT YET OUT OF THE WOODS. THERE IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR THE TURN NOT TO BE ENOUGH, RESULTING IN JOSEPHINE BRINGING BARBUDA AND TO A LESSER EXTENT ANTIGUA STORM-FORCE-WINDS AND HIGH SEAS ON SATURDAY - A REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO THAT CANNOT BE OVERLOOKED. THE THREAT LEVEL, WHICH IS BASED ON THE REASONABLE WORST-CASE SCENARIO, REMAINS ELEVATED (LOW). AT 11 AM LST OR 1500 UTC, TS JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH, LONGITUDE 49.2 WEST OR ABOUT 864 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUT UP TO 80 MILES TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTRE. RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE, UNTIL IT IS OUT OF OUR AREA AND NO LONGER A THREAT. 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